What's at Stake with U.S.-Cuba Normalization?
Peter Kornbluh, director of the Cuba Documentation Project and the Chile Documentation Project at the National Security Archive in Washington, D.C., writing in The Nation, provides a good description of what’s at stake in the U.S.-Cuba normalization process.
He argues that:
- Normalization is good for Cuba’s businesses (and the community of business-owners in Cuba), and
- Engagement through trade is good for U.S. interests
Engagement is good for the U.S. because of the way it opens the Cuban markets to U.S. exports. When Cuban consumers come to depend on U.S. consumer goods, the Cuban government will be less likely to pursue an anti-American foreign policy.
In addition, as U.S. trade with Cuba grows, Cuba will become more integrated into the world economy than it currently is. Nations that trade with their neighbors are less likely to pursue foreign adventures within their neighbor’s borders.
Kornbluh has authority to speak on the topic, having written a detailed analysis of past negotiations between the U.S. and Cuba in Back Channel to Cuba: The Hidden History of Negotiations Between Washington and Havana.